BU General Election Picks

Barbados General Election Watch

Click names of candidates to glean past election info

City of Bridgetown(Todd/Bostic)) BLP

St. Michael South – (Stuart/Lynch)  – DLP

St. Michael East – (Best/Prescod) – BLP

St. Michael South Central – (Gill/Sealy) – BLP

St. Michael Central – (Blackett/Holder) – BLP

St. Michael South East – (Tannis/Bradshaw) – BLP

St. Michael North East – (Mottley/Inniss) – BLP

St. Michael North – (Toppin/Depeiza) – BLP

St. Michael North West – (Sinckler/Nicholls) – DLP

St. Michael West – (Carrington/Atherley) – BLP

St. Michael West Central (Paul/Gooding-Edghill) – BLP

Christ Church West – (Agard/Depeiza) – BLP

Christ Church West Central – (Lashley/Durant-Callender – DLP

Christ Church South – (Boyce/Walcott) – BLP

Christ Church East Central – (Jones/Sands) – DLP

Christ Church East – (Lowe/Abrahams) – BLP

St. Philip North – (Lashley/Weir) – DLP

St. Philip South – (Brathwaithe/Wood) – BLP

St. Philip West – (Estwick/Eastmond) – DLP

St. George North – (Clarke/Ince) – BLP

St. George South – (Byer-Suckoo/Sutherland) – BLP

St. John – (Thompson/Griffith) – DLP

St. Joseph – (Marshall/Holder) – BLP

St. Thomas – (Forde/Hinds) – BLP

St. James North – (Hinkson/Husbands) – BLP

St. James South – (Inniss/Husbands) – BLP

St. James Central – (Hutson/Symmonds) – BLP

St. Peter – (Arthur/Benn) – BLP

St. Andrew – (Payne/Sandiford-Garner) – BLP

St. Lucy – (Kellman/Phillips) – DLP

BLP 22
Undecided 0

No Comments on “BU General Election Picks”

  1. Checkit-Out October 21, 2012 at 10:45 PM #

    The Serrao selection sounds unethical, unthinking and unprincipled but I suspect it isn’t illegal. I wonder what could have propelled OSA and the BLP hierarchy to make such a likely controversial choice in the face of having others to do the job that would not be in the least controversial. Looking forward to an explanation from Enuff or Prodigal son.


  2. David October 21, 2012 at 10:48 PM #

    Wasn’t Serrao one of BLP’s three appointees to the Electoral and Boundary Commission Board? Now that he has resigned what is the problem?


  3. BAFBFP October 21, 2012 at 10:56 PM #

    Alright then, he should NOT have been appointed to the EBC in the first place … In any event somet’ing wrong wid he. Dah Jimmy fella is the most vulgar campaigner since Alfred the Hotelier passed away…


  4. Hants October 21, 2012 at 11:12 PM #

    David as long as Serrao has not made changes to any boundaries or done anything that could affect the outtcome of the next election and as long as it is legal he can be campaign manager.

    However. Are Bajans so used to political skullduggery and corruption that they do not care about the optics.

    What is so special about Serrao that the BLP could not find a manager as competent as Serrao.

    Serrao will bridge the gap between Gine Cark and Bajan whrites.


  5. David October 21, 2012 at 11:14 PM #


    Agree the optics are poor.


  6. Tell me Why October 21, 2012 at 11:34 PM #

    Watch out ! | October 21, 2012 at 10:23 PM |
    Hi David,
    I just witnessed the political folly for the election season.

    At 5 mintutes to 10 pm the BLP meeting came to an abrupt halt in Rices St. Philip.

    I am sick of political yardies who creates negativity because of party affiliation and creates blatant lies to promote a particular party. Both Mia and Owen who was the final speaker spoke at the meeting. It is political hacks like you who are destroying political parties. Jah way sicko.


  7. Watch out ! October 21, 2012 at 11:48 PM #

    Tell me why

    You joker !

    Right after the speech of George Payne….Lovell went to the podium and thanked the supporters for coming out to the meeting and wished them a safe journey home.

    So how could you claim Owen was the final speaker ?


  8. David (not BU) October 21, 2012 at 11:54 PM #

    Watch out !? nobody ain’t wake you up? you people are a sad bunch.


  9. Checkit-Out October 22, 2012 at 12:13 AM #


    The problem is in perceptions.

    I always thought that the chairman of the EBC was non-partisan and would have been expected to be so in any determination of political conflicts re. boundaries, electoral lists, etc.

    The obvious conclusion from Mr Serrao’s new and obviously very partisan appointment is that it is unlikely that he was non-partisan in the past.

    It is also evident, from your pointing out that he was a BLP nominee for the EBC, that he must have been acknowledged to be partisan by all the politicians. So confirming that partisanship through this appointment is no big ting.

    It seems to be my mistake. But something still doesn’t seem right. Does the general population think that someone in the bowels of a political party should be the arbiter, in effect, of such heavy matters as boundaries and electoral lists?


  10. David October 22, 2012 at 12:14 AM #

    Appointees to the ECB are done with the blessing of the parties. They are not independently chosen.

    Read a fuller explanation from a commenter HERE.


  11. DavidB October 22, 2012 at 12:19 AM #

    Members of the EBC, are all appointees of the political parties, so party affiliation is known up front. The basic idea is that if something is amiss poltical people would scream the loudest.

    Quoting from “THE BARBADOS ELECTORAL PROCESS” by Mr Hensley Robinson, Chief Electoral Officer of Barbados reporting to Conference of Commonwealth Chief Election Officers
    Queens’ College Cambridge – 23-26 March 1998:

    “The Chairman and two Members are appointed by the Governor-General acting on recommendation of the Prime Minister after consultation with the Leader of the Opposition and the Deputy Chairman and one Member are appointed by the Governor-General acting on recommendation of the leader of the Opposition after consultation with the Prime Minister.”

    So the idea that the EBC is a body of independent persons is simply not the reality. They are all party appointees, period.

    The system works because the very keen and competing interests of the partisans provide the needed checks and balances.

    So, to answer the question raised by others, the former Chairman of the EBC was a party appointee to that body and can function in any capacity the party wishes him to as long as he is no longer serving on the EBC.


  12. what a mystery October 22, 2012 at 12:21 AM #

    Hi David,
    Any truth to the allegation that Owen and Mia ducked the BLP Rices meeting ?

    Holy mackerel….if true .


  13. DavidB October 22, 2012 at 12:26 AM #

    @ Watch Out!

    It is sick to come to this forum and tell a blatant and stupid lie that anyone can verify to be just that.

    I attended the Rices meeting and both Mia and Owen spoke as scheduled. And, George Payne did not speak because he was not scheduled to speak.

    My question is, why would you do it?!!


  14. Hants October 22, 2012 at 12:32 AM #

    It is obvious that Serrao was chosen because he is the best person for the job.

    Too bad the DLP don’t have an equally privileged campaign manager.

    This is what I don’t understand. Why not someone else? For the optics of Democracy Serrao is the wrong choice.


  15. what a mystery October 22, 2012 at 12:36 AM #

    So who was the man in the red hat from St. Andrew talking about wishing to bring roads to St. Philip South ? .

    George Payne was not scheduled to speak but he spoke last at Rices….and by the way… why did the BLP meeting end at minutes to 10 O’clock ?

    Verify that for the BU members.


  16. DavidB October 22, 2012 at 12:42 AM #

    @what a mystery

    The meeting ended at 11.00 p.m after Owen spoke. It was chaired by Rudy Grant, not Tyrone Lovell.

    The media will verify, so I certainly will not be getting into a back and forth about this. It’s too silly and childish to spread rumours that can so easily be shown to be false.


  17. David (not BU) October 22, 2012 at 1:11 AM #

    Hant? why are you worrying about those things? its not your call.

    it is clear the DLP hacks don’t have nothing better to do. given the info talked about tonight, one would expect them to come with this kind of shite.

    i heard tonight that there was an emergency cabinet tomorrow, wha is that all about now? maybe one of the jokers how on here talking shite would be able to tell us about that but then again you only know shite.


  18. BAFBFP October 22, 2012 at 2:35 AM #

    How the hell does Serrao become the best person for any job … Some ah wunna livin’ too far an’ away …


  19. David October 22, 2012 at 6:23 AM #

    It seems a key strategy of the BLP will be to use the Special Audit on the Barbados Water Authority by the Auditor General.


  20. Observing(...) October 22, 2012 at 7:53 AM #

    There’s nothing more wrong with Serraro than Simmons becoming Chief Justice! Lol.

    Number crunching, “down to the box” counting and “slight of hand voting” will be a feature for many boxes. The BLP. Already know the type of battle they’ll be fighting hence their choice. The DLP have similar people but I wonder if/why they’re not playing a more prominent role. The last time the DLP tried to “seriously” keep a government was 21 years ago. Methinks they will be a bit out of practice!

    Just observing


  21. millertheanunnaki October 22, 2012 at 8:21 AM #

    @ DavidB | October 22, 2012 at 12:26 AM |
    “@ Watch Out! It is sick to come to this forum and tell a blatant and stupid lie that anyone can verify to be just that.”

    What a blatant bold face lie! But that is in keeping with the DLP modus operandi. If you tell a lie often enough it would eventually stand as the “truth”.
    The DLP hacks on this blog have learned well from the architect of lies JCT and his students of recent vintage David, FS, and Sinckliar.

    One of the DLP’s peddlers of lies and propaganda calling itself “Cruel” (but sounds just like “Watch Out”) like a true carrion fly from the St. John Church yard tried to infect the miller’s grain only recently. But the angel of Truth stood in his way and placed a mirror right before the dirty fly and exposed his diseased cargo right before its very ugly face.

    So, “Cruel”, next time you attack us on BU you better watch out for “Watch Out”. He might just knock you out with a repellant called “Leroy Greenverbs” the king of insecticides.
    Just remember “Watch Out” aka “Cruel with the DLP leader”: ‘I will never Lie, Cheat or Steal”. And who said that?


  22. David October 22, 2012 at 8:43 AM #

    Have to agree that some of the DLP commenters do not endear themselves or the party to the public with the tone.


  23. Desmond October 22, 2012 at 10:24 AM #

    Did Owen Arthur deny he told Stuart the Nation talk back was disrespectful nonsense? Athur’s political nemesis Mia did not pay attention to Arthur she was at Talkback huffing and puffing on stage. Were Mia to become PM as a Barbadian it would embarrass me because of the lifestyle Owen said she lives.


  24. DavidB October 22, 2012 at 11:03 AM #

    @ Desmond

    Then hide your face in shame and shut up!

    Let us debate the merits of the policies and programs of either side and leave out the salacious personal attacks and innuendo, which have no place in modern politics.


  25. David October 22, 2012 at 4:57 PM #

    With the return of Wood to St. Philip South BU gives this seat to the BLP. Wood is known and the swing will do the rest. Brathwaite’s ministry has not given him the impact at the constituency level he would have liked.

    BU picks not tally 21 to 7 in favour of the BLP with 2 undecided.


  26. millertheanunnaki October 22, 2012 at 5:21 PM #

    @ ac | October 22, 2012 at 3:26 PM |

    I am not shutting you out of the debate. You were early into the Privatization vs. Divestment debate which you floundered on.

    All we are asking is that you accept the need for government to shed some of its load in areas where the private sector can play a role.

    Your party has signed on to this both in principle and in its actions.
    All we ask of you is to argue within those confines of agreement.

    But before proceeding with the debate you must give BU readers your understanding of the following extracts from the government’s loan application to the IADB.
    Some of the commitments have been already fulfilled such as the keeping of the VAT to 17.5 % and expected to rise to 20% in the next budget.
    Can’t you see reductions in staff complement and divestment of certain functions written over the application document?

    “Component II. Strengthening of tax revenues. The objective of this component
    is to strengthen the tax policy and administration system, ensuring more effective
    tax revenue collection. The programme will support the: (i) review of the
    efficiency of the tax system, including tax policy, tax rates and tax administration;
    (ii) establishment of a Central Revenue Authority (CRA) to consolidate revenue
    collection agencies under one umbrella and; (iii) modernisation programme for
    the Customs, Excise and VAT departments. The targets for the first operation are:
    (i) make permanent an increase in the VAT rate from 15% to 17.5%; (ii) an
    increase of 50% in the excise tax on gasoline and other fees; and (iii) the
    elimination of tax-free allowances.

    Component III. Improving control and quality of expenditure. The objective
    of this component is to support the GoB efforts to improve the quality and control
    of the allocation of resources to entities of the general government. The
    programme will support measures to control the growth of expenditure, which
    include: (i) containing transfers by rationalising the cost of personal emoluments;
    (ii) increasing the efficiency of the procurement system by strengthening the
    procurement framework and; (iii) reducing levels of spending on goods and services.”


  27. DavidB October 22, 2012 at 5:23 PM #

    @ David

    I agree with your assessment of the seats.

    I think if the PM does not keep close to his constituency during the campaign he will lose his seat. Reminds me of Bree St. John in 1986,

    Margo Callender has a steep hill to climb against Stephen Lashley in CCWC, but he seems to have turned off a lot of residents with his arrogance. This, along with the swing factor, may prove to be his undoing.


  28. millertheanunnaki October 22, 2012 at 5:29 PM #

    @ David BU:
    “@ millertheanunnaki | October 22, 2012 at 5:21 PM | “
    I inadvertently posted this to the wrong thread.
    Could you graciously transfer it to the correct place at
    “The Huff and Puff Is Affecting Me and Other Bajans! Let Us Deal With Some Facts – Part III”?



  29. David October 22, 2012 at 5:31 PM #


    Please repost, will delete when you do.


  30. DavidB October 22, 2012 at 5:42 PM #

    A very intriguing question is who would be the Leader of the Opposition if the BLP wins in a landslide and only about seven DEMS are left.

    The ones you would expect to get back in are Mara, Kellman, Sinckler, Estwick, Jones, Michael Lashley and possibly Sealy or Stuart.

    If Stuart retains his seat, I don’t see him maintaining leadership. So who would it be?


  31. David October 22, 2012 at 5:46 PM #


    On your scenario Estwick would get the nod. Mara would probably support Sinckler while Lashley, Kellman, Stuart would support Estwick.


  32. millertheanunnaki October 22, 2012 at 5:48 PM #

    @ David | October 22, 2012 at 5:31 PM |

    Have done as advised.


  33. DavidB October 22, 2012 at 6:07 PM #

    @ David

    Couldn’t Ronald Jones come through as a compromise candidate? I noticed you did not mention him at all.


  34. David October 22, 2012 at 6:10 PM #

    Jones leadership ‘credit’ was spent with the AX, BFA and E11 issues.


  35. Prodigal Son October 22, 2012 at 6:14 PM #

    My info tells me that the Dems went to Hartley after the release of the poll (never mind what the Dems were saying in public) and said to him….name your price….he responded…..you all cannot pay me, I am not for sale. So it seems as if Hartley is not “wid dems” now.

    I also find it strange that if you go by the polls and see that both Sincklar and Inniss are in trouble in their constituencies, why would they take on the tasks of managing the campaign and finding money for the campaign respectively. They both have to stay “home” and try to win their own seats and cannot help the rest if they want to lead the DLP in the future.

    But who am I to offer advice to the DLP???


  36. DavidB October 22, 2012 at 6:29 PM #

    Personally, I think Estwick would be the most credible, but he can be damaged by the BWA revelations. On the other hand, Sinckler’s ambition as seen with his Eager 11 role may play against him. But you cannot discount his current popularity.

    But in the end, it will come down to alliances.


  37. Tell me Why October 22, 2012 at 7:59 PM #

    To “Watch Out” and “what a mystery”

    You were watching a video of the St. Andrew nomination with Tyronne Lovell as moderator with a large picture of George Payne in the background. Based on your rushing to print, we can all see that you party faithfuls don’t listen. This is a far cry from the late David Thompson who listen, speak and talk sense. The Rices meeting was chaired by Rudy Grant and yes, Owen spoke last. Now be a man/woman and apologise to the BU family. Just look in the mirror and you will see who is the real joker.


  38. Prodigal Son October 22, 2012 at 8:50 PM #

    @Watch out ! | October 21, 2012 at 10:23 PM |

    Hi David,
    I just witnessed the political folly for the election season.

    At 5 mintutes to 10 pm the BLP meeting came to an abrupt halt in Rices St. Philip.

    No Owen arthur on the platform as advertised.
    No Mia mottley on the platform as advertised.
    The excuse cannot be that they were advertised to be in St. Andrew @ 4:30 pm (earlier in the evening) for George Payne’s nomination.
    George payne made it to Rices…..albeit to speak about his legacy of the 1990′s building roads !……………………………………………………………..

    How on God’s name could you post this nonsense! You have just proved to the whole BU family how low you Dems are! How can you show you “face” on this blog
    after this blatant untruth!

    Is not the motto of the DLP…..I will not lie, cheat or steal!


  39. cicero October 22, 2012 at 9:03 PM #

    BAFBFP | October 21, 2012 at 9:58 PM |
    How could George Payne win a seat in Barbados again … You mean country people so flipping stupid …?

    A bang on target question how this runtish p.o.s. wins a seat baffles anyone with any semblance of literacy.


  40. DavidB October 22, 2012 at 9:40 PM #

    @ BAFBFP/Cicero
    Where are the facts the back up your arguments? But they are not really arguments are they? Just name calling.

    @ Cicero
    You totally lost me there with the literacy comment. Care to explain?


  41. Crusoe October 22, 2012 at 10:53 PM #

    @DavidnotBU… ’emergency cabinet’?

    Must be economy / loans. What else. Bim economy in deep xhit.



  42. Election gimmicks October 23, 2012 at 1:11 AM #

    Wood returns to St. Phillip South predicts cyberspace God the one and only David. Castro is very much with us so if David’s crystal ball is true it gives Wood a second opportuniy to fall asleep snoring as Fidel Castro speaks and the world watches. For that act alone Wood should be banished from politics in our nation he brought international disgust down on Barbados.


  43. David December 4, 2012 at 6:04 PM #

    After a periodic review of BU picks we have decided to not to change.


  44. FED UP December 18, 2012 at 7:21 AM #

    18 BLP – 12 DLP. Elections on 25 January 2012. Anytime after that is riskful and wishful.





  46. Observing(...) January 7, 2013 at 9:46 PM #


    SMS – Stuart
    SMC – Blackett
    CCWC – Lashley
    SJS – Inniss
    SME – prescod (our bet still on :) )

    20 – 10 BLP

    CS, ML, SL, FS, DI, MT, DK, DE, RJ, SB

    Almost an eager 11. Who do you think would be leader of the opposition? Lol



  47. David January 7, 2013 at 10:01 PM #


    Will give it to David Estwick.


  48. Prodigal Son January 7, 2013 at 10:08 PM #

    Right now, a fair analysis! I have my doubts about Steve Blackett, though!


  49. Observing(...) January 8, 2013 at 3:32 PM #

    Blackett’s victory is more about the opponent than about him. Lol.

    Do you really see that group voting for Estwick as Leader of opposition?





  51. Terry January 21, 2013 at 1:23 PM #

    Who will be the First to tell the Truth DLP or the BLP first to do so will Win the Elections. tic tic ……


  52. firefox January 21, 2013 at 8:28 PM #

    Hi David, how soon will you update the BU Genserl Election Pick?


  53. David January 21, 2013 at 8:55 PM #


    Not much has changed. Given the revelation of Cadres poll#3 we have switched Best with Prescod and given Stuart the seat from undecided.


  54. David January 22, 2013 at 5:49 AM #


    You are hedging? Shame on you! :-)

    The only tactic outstanding to turn the tide is if the promised revelations i.e. Pegasus, FBI report, text note are perceived to be so damaging by the electorate. Even if this happens the BLP still has time to save grace by firing Arthur and appointing MAM which may explain why Stuart may be waiting until so late to drop the bomb shells.


  55. Observing(...) January 22, 2013 at 12:02 AM #

    Re. Kenny Best…….Finally! Lol.

    I’ll throw a spanner in the works here though. There is an absolute outside chance for the dlp to win the elections by 1, maybe 2 seats. But, it requires vision, balls, courage, common sense, strategy and 100% teamwork with a sacrifical lamb or two. Yes, I know….that’s asking a lot of the dems. Given the nature of these things and my “loyalties” I won’t say any more for now. But rest assured, we will either have a razor thin 16-14/17-13 DLP or a 21-9 BLP blowout leaning to a landslide. There are no more in between scenarios. Remember this post election night.

    Just Observing


  56. Yardbroom January 22, 2013 at 6:26 AM #

    Hi Observing(…) January 22, 2013. 12:02AM
    I am with you on this one, but to fine tune it a bit, I think the DLP might get a “WORKING MAJORITY”. My reasoning is that it is not a simple matter of how many seats are lost. . . there could be gains. As you know it is not an “exact” science. . . there are many turns in the road yet to come.


  57. Observing(...) January 22, 2013 at 10:52 AM #

    not hedging. Just objectively analysing.

    To navigate turns properly you need to pick your angle from early. lol. Not sure if there’s enough time to pick and choose angles.

    Just Observing


  58. firefox January 22, 2013 at 11:49 AM #

    Thanks David for your prompt update. I will review and comment. However at a quick-look I am not sure about the Sinckler/Nicholls seat my gut feeling and the talk on the ground, this may go the other way. But I will compare your conclusions with my notes and comment later. Thanks again.


  59. David January 22, 2013 at 11:55 AM #


    Does Nichols have money to spend?


  60. Tony Toppin February 7, 2013 at 5:55 PM #

    The undecided in St.Philip South is Anthony Wood to win comvertable


  61. True Bajan February 9, 2013 at 12:29 PM #

    I beg to differ with you on Christ Church West Central and St. James South. Lashley will win Christ Church West Centrl and Donville will win St. James South.


  62. David February 10, 2013 at 12:02 PM #

    BU picks updated.

    BU notes with interest that in Peter Wickham’s column today he is ‘bigging up’ Sinckler, Inniss and Sealy.


  63. firefox February 10, 2013 at 12:29 PM #

    I am now not too sure of any of them. However Peter is of the view that Inniss is the safest of the three. I don’t know, he is the man with the stats. We shall wait and see. David, is it true that Sinckler was booed at his meeting Friday night? And is it also true that the meeting finish well before 9.00pm?


  64. David February 10, 2013 at 12:53 PM #


    Have not heard your report however it was widely reported in the traditional media that Sinckler was booed at Deacons on Nomination Day. BU hastens to add that we do not support this behaviour from our primary school children.


  65. David February 10, 2013 at 1:08 PM #

    What is interesting to BU is the fact Mark Williams has been seen canvassing with the Joe Atherley team. Is he working both Atherley and Nicholls campaigns? One would think he is a valuable resource for the Nicholls camp.


  66. ! February 10, 2013 at 12:37 PM #

    Sinckler will dismiss the arrogant Nicholls clown. Nicholls has now resorted to pulling down Sinckler’s posters with a team after 6pm.St. Michael North West will not settle for less when they have the best. Chris will win this one.He has done more in 5 years than that loser Mascoll ever acomplished.


  67. firefox February 10, 2013 at 12:40 PM #

    Could it be that Peter Wickham is looking for a soft landing for his good friend Chris Sinckler? I also note with keen interest that Peter said Sealy stands a fair chance of winning if the negative swing does not stray far beyond the 7% mentioned two weeks ago. I am hearing word that the swing maybe as much as 10.5% – 11% if this is true it is not good news for the boys.


  68. firefox February 10, 2013 at 12:41 PM #

    @! —For your sake I hope so. good luck!!!!!!!


  69. Observing(...) February 10, 2013 at 12:47 PM #

    If sinckler goes then so does the rest of the party. Sinckler will defeat nicholls. Inniss should defeat husbands, but, there’s always that possibility. Sealy should have had no trouble with Gill but his margin is too tight and he’s been to “shaky” nationally to tell. By Saturday it should bee clearer.

    One note though, the national swing forecast method will be tested this cycle since there are so many individual constituencies with their own peculiar characteristics. The overall swing won’t be able to predict all the results…

    My count as we speak though is 18-12, BLP.

    Just Observing


  70. Fiddler on Roof February 10, 2013 at 1:53 PM #

    @ David

    What to make of Peter Wickham’s failure or refusal to include Dr. David Estwick as possible candidate for Leader of the Oppostion when or if the DLP ends up losing this election?


  71. Fiddler on Roof February 10, 2013 at 2:02 PM #

    @ Hants

    Dale Marshall is dead in St.Joseph. They are trying to save him but he’s already underwater thanks in major part to Mia’s deployment of resources to help Dennis Holder.

    Mia cutting out Owen, Dale and George Payne’s balls with Rusty bread knife. BRUTAL.


  72. David (not BU) February 10, 2013 at 2:30 PM #

    Fiddler on Roof is that what you all tell yourself at night to help the pain of losing this election? if Mia was that big and had that much power, she would be leader of the party but you come heer and THINK that big people would believe such crap.

    only the DEMs.

    David 22-8 are interesting numbers. hmmm! did you care to call the swing number?


  73. David February 10, 2013 at 2:39 PM #

    @David (not BU)

    This general election is interesting for many reasons:

    no long coat tails of the leaders;
    a time of austerity the derivative of an unprecedented global economic slowdown;
    weak candidates whether first timers or recycle;
    the Mia Mottley factor;
    the E11 factor
    etc etc

    What will win out for those undecided is the fact that there is pain when balancing the cheque book and the fear of change which sensible individuals know must come. There people BU believes will go with tried ans trusted even though the Owen years were in different times.


  74. Observing(...) February 11, 2013 at 7:27 PM #

    Help me with your rationale for

    – Husbands over Inniss
    – Arthur over Blackett

    I can “live” with the other choices though I’m tempted to give Sealy and Lowe the nod (for now) . Momentum and enthusiasm seem clearly more on the BLP side and I haven’t seen signs of them faltering (yet) after a serious sprint at the start. The DLP needs something strategically and politically major during this week. If the current campaigning status quo remains as is, we may be in store for some very daunting results for one party.

    btw, if both Inniss and Sealy goes, then Stephen Lashley and Sinckler are not as safe as they would think either.

    Just Observing


  75. David February 11, 2013 at 7:42 PM #


    Mia has been throwing her weight around for Arthur if not her coat tail.

    St. James South has a large middleclass and working class, both will work against Inniss Harold Hoyte’s view not withstanding.


  76. Observing(...) February 11, 2013 at 8:32 PM #

    Understood on both counts. We’ll see if Mia can bring him home. St. james is definitely going Bees. Donville is the only DLP hope. Stephen Lashley may be upset as well then. Let’s wait on the manifesto, the poll, and how the weekend turns.

    Just Observing


  77. Listening February 11, 2013 at 8:52 PM #

    Observing , David, assumption is yall on the ground not bunkered in middle class house in heights and terraces feet up with ac and fancy wide screen computer. Just saying. Take a read:

    From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
    “Dewey Defeats Truman” was a famously inaccurate banner headline on the front page of the Chicago Tribune on November 3, 1948, the day after incumbent United States President Harry S. Truman beat Republican challenger and Governor of New York Thomas E. Dewey in the 1948 presidential election in an upset victory.
    The paper’s erroneous headline became notorious after a jubilant Truman was photographed holding a copy of the paper during a stop at St. Louis Union Station while returning by train from his home in Independence, Missouri to Washington, D.C.[1] The Chicago Tribune, which had once referred to Truman as a “nincompoop”, was a famously Republican-leaning paper. In a retrospective article over half a century later about the newspaper’s most famous and embarrassing headline, the Tribune wrote that Truman “had as low an opinion of the Tribune as it did of him.”[2]
    On election night, this earlier press deadline required the first post-election issue of the Tribune to go to press before even the East coast states had reported many results from the polling places. The paper relied on its veteran Washington correspondent and political analyst Arthur Sears Henning, who had predicted the winner in four out of five presidential contests in the past 20 years. Conventional wisdom, supported by polls, was almost unanimous that a Dewey presidency was “inevitable”, and that the New York governor would win the election handily. The first (one-star) edition of the Tribune therefore went to press with the banner headline “DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN”.[1]”

    BU, Wickham you’re warned to stop jukking your hands in fowl botsy to count eggs. Well well well, cocksure overconfident Owen looks and sounds more arrogant than the dread days of 2003 to 2008. Nuff said.


  78. Observing(...) February 11, 2013 at 9:51 PM #

    1948 versus 2013
    Presidential election versus 30 seat race
    Republican paper versus wide open blog
    Limited undeveloped polling versus consistent conventional polling
    Reliance on one man (henning) versus converging observation from various media and sources

    If you can point to a more recent example of cumulative polls, and widespread anecdotal observation from multiple media being wrong I’ll be happy to agree with you. I do get your point, but, you have to admit, one team “seems” way ahead of the other by any criteria you can come up with.

    Btw, assumption is correct. Feet are firmly planted. Lol.

    Just observing


  79. Gabriel Tackle February 11, 2013 at 10:00 PM #

    Wishing and hoping for Stuart and the Dems to return to form the next Government is a waste of your time.Stuart sat on his fanny for 3 years or so and at the basic level refused or should I say abandoned the electorate of Barbados,refusing to share his present record or his vision with them.In the meantime Barbados has been borrowing from the NIS every month to pay Public Sector salaries and you would think that Bajans would be up in arms over this.When some awaken its going to be too late.On this basis alone we must be rid of Stuart and the Dems.Serious decisions cannot be postponed.Bitterness comes in the morrow.This crap about DEMS NOW,DEMS AGAIN is for the gimme,gimme people who are led to believe the Government owes them a living and they need not work for their livelihood.’Knowing and
    not applying and willing and not doing is not enough'(Goethe)Stuart is found wanting.


  80. DavidB February 11, 2013 at 11:42 PM #

    If the swing is anywhere near 11%, then we would be looking at something like 27 – 3 in favour of the BLP.

    This is not meant as a prediction; it just reflects that only about 3 persons on the DLP side have a margin that could withstand such a swing.

    Personally, I speculate that it is more likely in the vicinity of 8%.


  81. Fidel February 12, 2013 at 12:29 AM #

    DavidB | February 11, 2013 at 11:42 PM | I speculate the swing between 4% to 6% then factor in peculiarities of individual constituencies. Dale rabbit implants Marshall won in 2008 taking the swing into consideration he should have lost handily. Rommell Marshall also lost when in spite of the swing he was down to win easily.


  82. Crazy Horse Jockey February 12, 2013 at 6:58 AM #


    St.Joseph is gone. The big DLP money has moved into the two northern parishes and Dennis Holder already has 12 hired cars and 3 buses for Election Day.

    Dale is gone and when it’s done he’ll have Mia to thank. Nobody like a traitor, and that’s just what Girlie Girlie Marshall is.


  83. FED UP February 14, 2013 at 7:21 AM #

    Mia holds the key to the Election. If the BLP allows her to appear on CBC TV to deliver the address to the Nation, then there is no way the DLP can continue to use the Mia/Owen disunity.

    This is the right time for Mia to bargain for whatever she wants and she is smart enough to know this. This is one interesting election. The most interesting one in my lifetime of 35 years.


  84. ! February 14, 2013 at 7:40 AM #

    Mia Mottley will do to George Payne and Dale Marshall exactly what she did to the mock B “coleader” Mascoll in 2008.
    There is so much division and dislike among the BLP candidates, it is amazing but one thing they always bank on is a strong publuc relations machinery to create false impressions about policy and personality.


  85. David February 14, 2013 at 8:01 AM #

    Nothing has been delivered from the platform of the DLP so far which BU considers a game changer.


  86. Fidel February 14, 2013 at 8:21 AM #

    ate This
    David | February 14, 2013 at 8:01 AM |
    Nothing has been delivered from the platform of the DLP so far which BU considers a game changer

    Same applies to BLP platform, no?


  87. David February 17, 2013 at 12:47 AM #

    According to the recent CADRES poll thinks are heating up:


    BU will update our picks on Tuesday.


  88. David February 19, 2013 at 10:32 PM #

    BU will stay with our picks as stated above.


  89. DR. THE HONOURABLE February 22, 2013 at 5:13 PM #

    all of you were wrong !


  90. David February 23, 2013 at 12:02 PM #

    Final results:



  91. ac March 9, 2013 at 12:07 PM #

    Reading the comments after the results makes for good comedy on “saturday nit live” wonder how many crows have miller and observing devoured as of recents.


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